REBALANCE INTELLIGENCE

ETH surged +24%. BTC dropped -7%. A 50/50 rebalance bot’s entire job is to sell the outperformer and buy the underperformer — which means in August 2025, it systematically sold ETH at highs and loaded up on falling BTC. Two of three tested variants lost money. The one that survived did so by barely moving. Here’s what the data says about running a rebalance bot into a violent, one-sided market.

The market pulled SOL and ETH in opposite directions for 46 days. SOL dropped 12.37%. ETH gained 5.64%. A passive holder would have ended up roughly flat — but the Rebalance bot found +1.70% ROI and edged out HODL by 0.11%. Here’s exactly how it happened, and what it means for your strategy.

SOL dropped nearly 32% and ETH collapsed 48% between October 20 and December 15, 2025. A $1,000 portfolio was always going to take a hit. The real question: did actively rebalancing between two falling assets help or hurt? The answer is nuanced — and slightly more hopeful than the −28.73% headline looks.

Both assets fell. FET hard, SOL less so. A passive holder lost 21.37% — and there was nothing they could do about it. The rebalance bot lost 19.17%, beat HODL by 2.20%, and did it in 40 disciplined swaps across 41 days. The margin is small. The lesson is large.

XRP surged nearly 27% while BTC added just 2.5%. That’s a lopsided pair — and exactly where a ratio-based rebalancer earns its keep. The bot ran 22 swaps, captured $184.24 in profit, and beat passive holding by 1.64 percentage points. Here’s every number behind that edge.

BTC dropped 2.1%. ETH dropped 18.5%. A 50/50 portfolio of both was always going to be painful. But did actively rebalancing between them help or hurt? The answer — and the lesson — is more nuanced than the −10.66% headline suggests.